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GOLD NEXT WEEK: CORRECTION OR CONTINUATION?
XAUUSD. Last week, Gold closed above $4,600, and with that, the market also broke out of the important liquidity resistance area between $4,579 and $4,594. The most important part is that Gold closed Friday above this entire zone, which I have marked as the red zone on the chart. Now the biggest question is: what should we expect from Gold in the final week of August? Will the bullish momentum continue, or are we likely to see a correction first? August has already been a very strong month for Gold. After several months of weakness and consolidation, the market has delivered almost a 15.5% upside move on the monthly candle. Naturally, after such a strong move, many traders are now wondering whether Gold can continue higher from here or whether a correction is about to begin. Personally, based on my experience, whenever Gold has an extremely bullish month, the final week often brings either consolidation or a small correction. However, that does not necessarily mean the overall trend is going to reverse. In most cases, the broader trend continues in the same direction. The key level for me is still $4,453. This was a very important level because, as long as Gold was trading below it, I was expecting the market to eventually move toward $4,000 or even $3,900. But the way Gold broke strongly above this area and then successfully held it as support last week has completely changed the picture. The upside momentum has been very strong, and the volume behind this move is also something I cannot ignore. The return of strong buyers tells me that the market may now be targeting some of the previous lower highs that were created earlier this year, which you can clearly see on the daily timeframe. At the same time, I don't want to blindly chase the upside. Since this is the final week of a very successful bullish month, I am expecting some consolidation and potentially a correction. But I want to make one thing very clear: I am not expecting this correction to be a trend reversal. Instead, I believe the market could use a correction to trap the aggressive buyers who have entered after the breakout and shift the mindset of retail traders once again. Think about it. Gold has closed above $4,600, and the important liquidity resistance zone has already been broken. A lot of retail buyers have likely entered around or above these levels, especially over the weekend. My expectation is that Monday could initially bring some downside movement, which may trap these aggressive buyers. After that, I would expect the market to stabilize and potentially start moving higher again. So, my initial plan is to watch for consolidation and upside momentum during Monday and Tuesday. If Gold pushes higher into Tuesday, I would then start looking for signs of a correction from Tuesday evening or Wednesday. The correction I am expecting could potentially bring Gold back below $4,600, with $4,522 being an important downside area to watch. Again, this would not automatically mean that the bullish trend is over. I would treat it as a correction within the larger bullish structure. We saw something similar between August 11 and August 20, when the market spent time consolidating, attracting sellers and creating liquidity before making another strong move. I believe we could see a similar type of price behavior next week. After such a powerful upside move, it is completely normal for the market to create some discomfort. Sometimes the market needs to bring in sellers, trap buyers, and reset sentiment before continuing in the direction of the bigger trend. So, my overall bias remains strongly bullish as long as Gold stays above $4,453 & $4522. As long as we don't get a meaningful close below this level, every major dip will remain a potential buying opportunity for me. What I want to see next week is simply a correction or sell-off—not a massive collapse, but enough downside momentum to shift retail sentiment. Traders who are aggressively buying at the current levels may start turning bearish after seeing a correction, and that change in sentiment could create the liquidity required for the next upside move. So, my plan is simple: respect the bullish trend, don't chase the market aggressively, and wait for the correction to show us where the next opportunity could come from. This is my view for the final week of August. Let me know in the comments what your plan is for Gold next week.
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